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24 June 2008

关于油价调高

前提:
6月4号 下午五点
首相宣布调整油价
汽油起价0.78 从每公升RM1.92起价至每公升RM2.70
6月5号凌晨生效

首相说
在減少汽油津貼後
政府將會根據私家車引擎的馬力
在車主更新路稅時給予現金回扣
1999馬力以下的轎車可以取回rm625
而電單車的現金回扣是rm120

根據較早時的消息指出
政府將通過為電單車和低馬力的私家車提供現金補貼等系列配套
應付國際原油價格飆漲對中下層人民所帶來的衝擊

*** *** ***

一开始的时候
当然这样的涨价所激起的反弹可以想象得到
有很多人非常激烈地反对 组织各种活动
希望政府可以撤销这项决定
也有人表示 油价不得不涨
可是我们要知道上次涨价时
政府承诺把省下来的汽油津贴用在改善公共交通上
为什么都这些时候了还是看不到改进呢

过了一段时候
大家进入适应期
开始觉得 啊 既然事情发生了
就应该试着去接受吧 调整生活才是上策
甚至有人在报上专栏说
现在大家都留在家里过有品质的家庭生活了
也有人说 路上交通不再像以前一样拥挤
大家都不敢踩油门 交通意外发生的机率也减少了
当大家被迫慢下脚步
这种慢活会慢慢发展成另一种生活方式
多了反思 减少资源的浪费 增加资源的有效应用

*** *** ***

其实我一直觉得我国国人是非常能够逆来顺受的
非常乐观 包容性非常强
面对朝令夕改首相部长各说各话的政府
面对那些再荒谬不过的政策
我们早已经习以为常 (有什么信心可言)

油价调高
在刚宣布的下班后的黄昏
就去添历史性的最后一缸1.92的汽油的A和我就谈起
其实油价调高
可怕的并不是我们的车子的油缸
可怕的是随之而来的物价飙涨
汽油涨价 接下来电费价格调整
运输经营成本提高
于是物价跟着越涨越高
而且极有可能是上了就不会再跌下来了

这个浅显的 即使只是想象也会让人不寒而栗的道理
显然我们亲爱的政府并没有注意到
(是视而不见 还是眼高手低 
抑或是太高瞻远瞩结果眼前的角落成了盲点)
一宣布油价调高 
就开始警告 巴士学生车不能起价 这个那个不能起价
这真的很过分呢
难道这些车子都是喝空气就会动的哟
政府说政府无法负担汽油津贴于是涨价
那么这些靠开车吃饭的难道就必须负担你无法负担的吗?

而那rm625的津贴
如果是一位赤贫的无车阶级
原本就穷得没办法买各种生活必需品
现在又面对物价飙涨
可笑的是这625的津贴还是轮不到自己呢
“應付國際原油價格飆漲對中下層人民所帶來的衝擊”
这话是怎么说得呢?
政府有没有想到 这样的人家大有人在呀
说回家和家人一起共聚
如果家里的饭桌上已经无法摆上食物
这样的坐困愁城该怎么办
于是我们也在担心着
照这样看下来
原本就糟糕透顶的犯罪率应该因此会再攀高峰
于是大家就更人心惶惶
女生们就更得为自己的安全注意小心

我们亲爱的政府从来不食人间烟火
首相出门不是乘头等舱 他有他自己的飞机
仅仅是娱乐津贴 首相一个月有rm18865
一个月30天 一天就有rm628 
他可以吃一顿rm200的早餐 rm200的午餐 rm200的晚餐
而这只是他的娱乐津贴
我们甚至不知道他还有什么津贴呢
削个10%叫做撙节政策???
他还真有勇气 脸不红气不喘地把这个叫撙节政策
我们亲爱的政府从来不知道我们过的日子是怎样的呢
他们什么时候曾经到油站去添油呢 
他们什么时候到菜市场去看看肉鸡猪肉的价钱都涨成什么样子了
他们什么时候到超级市场去看看吃的用的都变成什么价钱了
他们知不知道有很多人很多户人家在挨饿呀

宣布油价调高之前就应该知道连锁反应的厉害
除了说这是迫不得已 叫人民不要上街示威之外
其实他早应该部署好全套方案
(难道这样的反应是出乎意料的吗?)
不是因为人民反应激烈 而紧急宣布这样那样
这些紧急宣布的东西 
照惯例来看 实施的可能性可行性微乎其微
这种种不用大脑来思考的东西
很难想象是我们用了那么多血汗钱
(我们一个月的伙食费是他们一天的"娱乐津贴")
来供养的一群人所想出来的
到底他们都在想什么呢
我真的真的很好奇


这里贴上转贴自论坛的故事
虽然石油买卖没有苹果买卖那么单纯
不过看看也好

The story about "subsidy".

A man called Maha owns a farm which can produce 10 apples every day.
He has 5 workers to operate the farm.
Each of them eats 1 apple daily and it is enough to keep them operating the
farm normally.
The remaining 4 apples, the landlord sells them at RM10 each and he earns
RM40.
He uses the RM25 to improve the farm operation and facilities.
He gives RM2.00 to each of his workers and he keeps the remaining RM5.00 as
profit.
Day by day, the farm is well developed and all of the 5 workers are happy
with the money they can save.

When Maha passed away and there is a new landlord, Abdul comes to continue
the farm operation.
He says to the workers:" We need to improve the farm quality and redefine
our way of thinking.
From now on all of you only need to pay RM1.00 for each apple you eat.
It is very cheap as the price is RM10 each outside the farm."
The workers have no choice but to pay RM1.00 for the apple they eat daily.
Their earning decrease from RM2.00 to RM1.00 per person.
As usual, Abdul sells the 4 apples and he gets RM40.
He uses RM25 for farm improvement and pays RM10 to his 5 workers.
He gets RM5.00 as profit. On top of that, he gets another RM5.00 from the
apples that he sells to his workers.
In total, he gets RM10 as profit every day.

Soon, the apple price increases to RM20 each.
The new landlord gets a higher profit as he gets RM80 for the 4 apples he
sells daily.
Then, he decides to give the farming improvement contract to one of his
close friend, Samy.
Samy says:"Apple cost naik, improvement cost also misti naik."
So, the farm improvement cost increases from RM25 to RM50.
In actual, the improvement only cost RM30.
The remaining RM20, Abdul and Samy share evenly among themselves.

Let's calculate how much Abdul gets daily:

RM10 (from farm improvement cost)
RM20 (Net profit by selling 4 apples: [Gross profit, RM80] - [Improvement
cost, RM50] - [Wages RM10] = RM20)
RM5 (from selling apples to his workers)

In total, Abdul gets RM35 daily compare to RM10 initially when he takes over
the farm from Maha.
His profit increases RM25 and the workers are still getting RM1.00 daily per
person.
The greedy Abdul does not want to stop there.
One day, he says to his fellow workers:" You see ah, the current market
price for one apple is RM20 and you are only paying RM1.
See how lucky you are! I have to SUBSIDY RM19.00 for each of the apple you
buy and total I need to SUBSIDY RM95.00.
This will greatly burden the farm and we might get bankrupt if we continue
like this.
In order to avoid bankruptcy, I need to increase the apple price that you
buy from RM1.00 to RM1.50 and I will bear the remaining RM18.50 per apple as
my subsidy to you all. "
So, greedy Abdul adds RM2.50 to his current profit and the number becomes
RM37.50.

After you have read the story, I am sure you have already understood the
meaning of "SUBSIDY" given by the government.

The RM95 subsidy never existed in the first place and so was the RM52
billion fuel subsidy generously "given" by the government

Cutting fuel subsidy is actually just a reason to steal money from your
pocket.

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